Thu, Oct 29, 08:30 AM ETThu, Oct 29, 08:30 PM Beijing
Add to calendarGDP · EVENT PLAYBOOK
U.S. GDP schedule and market impact
GDP measures total U.S. economic output. The BEA publishes advance, second and third estimates for each quarter, typically at 8:30 a.m. ET (8:30 p.m. Beijing time during U.S. daylight time; 9:30 p.m. during standard time).
WHY IT MATTERS
Why U.S. equities care
GDP growth is central to the recession-versus-soft-landing debate and shapes views on the earnings cycle and the yield curve; markets usually focus on the surprise and the composition of growth.
WHAT TO READ
What to read first
- 01
Real GDP growth at a seasonally adjusted annual rate
- 02
Personal consumption
- 03
Private fixed investment
- 04
Net export and inventory swings
- 05
Size and direction of revisions
IMPACT PATHS · INFERENCE
Potential paths, not trade calls
Recession fears fade but the rate path tightens → yields rise → rate-sensitive sectors reprice
Recession and easing expectations rise together → the curve reshapes → defensive and cyclical sectors diverge
READING BOUNDARIES
Common reading mistakes
- Advance estimates rely on incomplete data and later revisions can change the picture
- Inventories and net exports often distort a single quarter
- Quarterly data lags monthly indicators
2026 GDP release schedule (Beijing time)
Dates and times follow the official schedule
| Date (Beijing) | Beijing time | Eastern time | Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29 | 20:30 | 08:30 | 3rd Quarter 2026 |
| Wed, Nov 25 | 21:30 | 08:30 | 3rd Quarter 2026 |
| Wed, Dec 2 | 21:30 | 08:30 | 2025 |
| Wed, Dec 23 | 21:30 | 08:30 | Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 3rd Quarter 2026 |
All 2026 release dates already published by the agency, plus any next-year dates it has announced. Later changes follow the official source.